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A Golden Opportunity by Mr. Ubed Shipra Download pdf Gold has traditionally been the standard by which the value of anything is assessed; it has also been a universally accepted medium of exchange. Gold prices are closely linked with two important factors, the US Dollar and Crude Oil prices. While gold has an inverse relationship & strong negative correlation with the USD (the prices of gold rallies as the dollar falls and vice versa), it has direct link with the oil prices. In general, higher oil prices tend to push up the inflation numbers and gold is considered as the best hedge against inflation. Thus, when oil prices shoot up, so does the price of gold. In the current financial turmoil – when the stock markets were down, property and commodity prices were weakening – gold was the only asset class that saw a sharp rise in prices. It is the only asset that stands on its own during turbulent times. In the last few months, as the financial markets stabilized, gold price has been a lot more tempered. There are also 'emotional' reasons why people hold gold in their portfolio. For Indians, gold is an essential for marriages. Here, obviously, the 'return' is really not that important. In our view, gold is a "must" in every portfolio as it brings in an element of diversification. The price of gold is driven by factors which are broadly speaking different from those that drive the price of other assets such as stocks. This results in what is generally seen as a contrararian trend. This was seen, not only in the recent financial market turmoil, but also soon after the 9/11 terror attacks. For a long time, buying physical gold was the only option for investing in gold. Then public sector banks in India started offering Gold Bonds. These bonds allowed people to exchange their physical gold with certificates that gave them exposure to gold. In the last few years, Indians have also got the opportunity of investing in Gold futures, a derivative with gold as the underlying. Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) are increasingly become popular among investors. Gold ETF Gold ETFs are open-ended funds which are passively managed. Since the fund takes gold exposure, net asset value of the units of the scheme track prices of gold. The units of the scheme are listed and traded on a stock exchange; hence, they can be bought and sold like stocks on a real-time basis. By enabling investors to invest in gold without holding it in physical form, Gold ETFs offer a rather unique investment opportunity to investors. The World’s first Gold ETF (exchange-traded fund) was launched in Australia in March 2003. But the idea was originated in India way back in 2002, when one of the AMCs filed a proposal with SEBI in May 2002. However, regulations were not friendly towards the launch of such schemes then. Finally, in Feb 2007 India’s first gold ETF was launched.
Comparision of Gold ETF with Gold Sector Funds
Performance Category Wise return as on December 24, 2009 Over 1 year, the share market has done better. But a 2-year perspective shows gold as a better performer.
Source: www.valueresearchonline.com Fund wise Gold ETFs return as on December 24, 2009 There is little to choose between the ETF schemes
Source: www.valueresearchonline.com Gold Sector Fund return as on December 23, 2009 The gold sector funds have performed much better than the Gold ETF. Inter-scheme differences in performance too are seen.
Source: www.valueresearchonline.com
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